Ok, with 5 games to go for most teams, things are getting tight at the bottom, so here are the remining fixtures for the teams most in danger of relegation.
20. Wolves
HOME: vs Middlesbrough
AWAY: vs Birmingham
HOME: vs Everton
AWAY: vs Newcastle
HOME: vs Tottenham
Well, all the remaining games for Wolves are against 'safe' teams, and I think Wolves fate is sealed. IMO they are the one definite candidate for relegation. I reckon a win against Boro, a draw with Everton, and three losses from their final games.
19. Leceister
AWAY: vs Blackburn
HOME: vs MAN CITY
AWAY: vs Charlton
HOME: vs Portsmouth
AWAY: vs Arsenal
Well, Leceister could yet escape, given three of their final five games are against fellow relegation contenders Blackburn, CITY and Portsmouth, but with 28 points I can't see even those three games being enough. Winning those three and relying on poor performances from the same teams in their remaining fixtures could yet see a 'great escape' especially if they can sneak draws against Charlton and Arsenal, but how likely is that? I reckon a draw with City, a win against Pompey, and three losses.
18. Leeds
AWAY: vs Arsenal
HOME: vs Portsmouth
AWAY: vs Bolton
HOME: vs Charlton
AWAY: vs Chelsea
Ok, on 32 points they are in the best postion of the bottom three for avoiding the drop. The game against Portsmouth is important, given Portsmouth position on the table, and they may well fancy themselves against Bolton and Charlton. Arsenal and Chelsea will be different matters, especially if Chelsea need the points to beat United for the automatic Champs League spot. Leeds are a very capable team however, and have shown some spine in their last three games. They can yet avoid the drop and are capable of getting something out of the 'big' games. I reckon three wins against Portsmouth, Bolton and Charlton, and they may have anough mettle to secure draws against Arsenal and Chelsea. But the 9 points from the wins may be enough...
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Ok, the next three teams are all on 34 points, and Leeds are capable of taking advantage of any slip ups.
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17. Portsmouth
HOME: vs Man United
AWAY: vs Leeds
HOME: vs Fulham
AWAY: vs Leceister
HOME: vs Middlesbrough
May fancy themselves at home against Fulham and Middlebrough, but may also be focused on the 2 away games against fellow relegation contenders Leeds and Leceister. The Man Poo game may be a bridge too far, but at home, who knows? I think they are the most likely of this group to fall into the bottom three, allowing Leeds a last gasp escape from the drop. I reckon they may get wins against Boro and Leceister, but lose the other three, sending them down to the nationwide as Leeds pull ahead.
16. Blackburn
HOME: vs Leceister
AWAY: vs Everton
HOME: vs Man United
AWAY: vs Tottenham
HOME: vs Birmingham
Will fancy themselves against Leceister, and even the game against United could be a surprise given the ding-ding nature of this fixture. As with City, they should be playing better, and I think they will survive. Wins against LeceisterBirmingham, a draw with United, giving them 41 points and level with Leeds.
15. MANCHESTER CITY
HOME: vs Southampton
AWAY: vs Leceister
HOME: vs Newcastle
AWAY: vs Boro
HOME: vs Everton
OHHH NOOO! Ah well, it will go down to the wire for City. Who knows how the final fixtures will go, but I can only imagine the players will be dreading the drop wnough to secure wins against Everton and Southampton. Newcastle is a bridge too far me thinks, Leceister will be desperate for a point at least, and Boro are a tricky team. I still think they have enough to avoid the drop, and will not lose as many points as Portsmouth in the remaining games, so even if Leeds pull ahead they should be safe.
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So, my picks are Wolves, Leceister and Portsmouth for the drop, Leeds to get themselves out of the mire, and Blackburn and City to survive thanks to Portsmouth dropping more points than them.
Please please please.
EDIT: Whoops, forgot to add in Portmouths game against Arsenal, which was postponed on April 3rd. But I think we can all say which way that is going to go and no points for Pompey from that game, so overall table not affected.
I could also have added Tottenham and Everton into the mix, because if either of them have a disasterous run then they are also theoretically in danger of relegation. But on 38 points, and the games they have left (both have to play Wolves) then they should be safe with one more win.
20. Wolves
HOME: vs Middlesbrough
AWAY: vs Birmingham
HOME: vs Everton
AWAY: vs Newcastle
HOME: vs Tottenham
Well, all the remaining games for Wolves are against 'safe' teams, and I think Wolves fate is sealed. IMO they are the one definite candidate for relegation. I reckon a win against Boro, a draw with Everton, and three losses from their final games.
19. Leceister
AWAY: vs Blackburn
HOME: vs MAN CITY
AWAY: vs Charlton
HOME: vs Portsmouth
AWAY: vs Arsenal
Well, Leceister could yet escape, given three of their final five games are against fellow relegation contenders Blackburn, CITY and Portsmouth, but with 28 points I can't see even those three games being enough. Winning those three and relying on poor performances from the same teams in their remaining fixtures could yet see a 'great escape' especially if they can sneak draws against Charlton and Arsenal, but how likely is that? I reckon a draw with City, a win against Pompey, and three losses.
18. Leeds
AWAY: vs Arsenal
HOME: vs Portsmouth
AWAY: vs Bolton
HOME: vs Charlton
AWAY: vs Chelsea
Ok, on 32 points they are in the best postion of the bottom three for avoiding the drop. The game against Portsmouth is important, given Portsmouth position on the table, and they may well fancy themselves against Bolton and Charlton. Arsenal and Chelsea will be different matters, especially if Chelsea need the points to beat United for the automatic Champs League spot. Leeds are a very capable team however, and have shown some spine in their last three games. They can yet avoid the drop and are capable of getting something out of the 'big' games. I reckon three wins against Portsmouth, Bolton and Charlton, and they may have anough mettle to secure draws against Arsenal and Chelsea. But the 9 points from the wins may be enough...
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Ok, the next three teams are all on 34 points, and Leeds are capable of taking advantage of any slip ups.
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17. Portsmouth
HOME: vs Man United
AWAY: vs Leeds
HOME: vs Fulham
AWAY: vs Leceister
HOME: vs Middlesbrough
May fancy themselves at home against Fulham and Middlebrough, but may also be focused on the 2 away games against fellow relegation contenders Leeds and Leceister. The Man Poo game may be a bridge too far, but at home, who knows? I think they are the most likely of this group to fall into the bottom three, allowing Leeds a last gasp escape from the drop. I reckon they may get wins against Boro and Leceister, but lose the other three, sending them down to the nationwide as Leeds pull ahead.
16. Blackburn
HOME: vs Leceister
AWAY: vs Everton
HOME: vs Man United
AWAY: vs Tottenham
HOME: vs Birmingham
Will fancy themselves against Leceister, and even the game against United could be a surprise given the ding-ding nature of this fixture. As with City, they should be playing better, and I think they will survive. Wins against LeceisterBirmingham, a draw with United, giving them 41 points and level with Leeds.
15. MANCHESTER CITY
HOME: vs Southampton
AWAY: vs Leceister
HOME: vs Newcastle
AWAY: vs Boro
HOME: vs Everton
OHHH NOOO! Ah well, it will go down to the wire for City. Who knows how the final fixtures will go, but I can only imagine the players will be dreading the drop wnough to secure wins against Everton and Southampton. Newcastle is a bridge too far me thinks, Leceister will be desperate for a point at least, and Boro are a tricky team. I still think they have enough to avoid the drop, and will not lose as many points as Portsmouth in the remaining games, so even if Leeds pull ahead they should be safe.
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So, my picks are Wolves, Leceister and Portsmouth for the drop, Leeds to get themselves out of the mire, and Blackburn and City to survive thanks to Portsmouth dropping more points than them.
Please please please.
EDIT: Whoops, forgot to add in Portmouths game against Arsenal, which was postponed on April 3rd. But I think we can all say which way that is going to go and no points for Pompey from that game, so overall table not affected.
I could also have added Tottenham and Everton into the mix, because if either of them have a disasterous run then they are also theoretically in danger of relegation. But on 38 points, and the games they have left (both have to play Wolves) then they should be safe with one more win.