saketsharan
Youth Team
I'm ready
The Host: Chris Rock
The Nominees: See Post Below
The Official Homepage: www.oscars.com
Broadcast Parters: USA: ABC UK: Sky One
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Oscars 2005 - The 77th Annual Academy Awards
- Thread starter saketsharan
- Start date
I'm ready
The Host: Chris Rock
The Nominees: See Post Below
The Official Homepage: www.oscars.com
Broadcast Parters: USA: ABC UK: Sky One
S
Sir Calumn
Guest
OK, we'll make this the official 'Oscars Thread' and the other the offical 'Oscars Preview Thread'.
Here are my predictions and hopes:
Best Picture:
I Hope: Ray
I Predict: The Aviator
To me, this category seems like a two horse race between Million Dollar Baby (which I havent seen) and The Aviator, which is a great shame because I feel that but Sideways and Ray are better than The Aviator certainly. For me, Ray should win it for both the quality of the acting and the sheer enjoyability of the film, but I think when it comes to the night The Aviator will edge it. Sideways is a possibility but Finding Neverland a very unlikely outside IMO.
Best Director:
I Hope: Mike Leigh
I Predict: Martin Scorsese
Going back on my earlier prediction that the Best Picture and Director awards would be shared between Eastwood and Scorsese, I now think that both will go to the later, a shame as from what I've heard, Eastwood deserves it more. Personally, I would like to see Mike Leigh win it, though perhaps that's British prejudice showing through. While I thought Ray was a better film than Vera Drake, I think the directing was a much larger factor in the later, making Ray the least likely for me.
Best Actor:
I Hope: Jamie Foxx
I Predict: Jamie Foxx
Can't see this going to anyone else, and well deserved for one of the best portrayals of a real life character I have ever seen. When you compare this to the other favourites, DiCaprio's, portrayal of real life character Howard Hughes, there is no contest, Foxx being by far the more believable, so unless the academy get cold feet in going for the relative newcomer, I cant see this providing a problem. I always make a bet on what I consider to be the biggest shoe-in, and this will have my money this year.
Best Actress:
I Hope: Imelda Staunton
I Predict: Kate Winslet
Another one which seems to be pretty much a cert, and which would be well deserved. I would like to see that magnificant Staunton take it, but this isnt very likely in my opinion, and I cant see anyone but Winslet come out with it on the night. At least we have a good chance of a brit winner here.
Best Supporting Actor:
I Hope: Alan Alda
I Predict: Morgan Freeman
Probably the hardest to call of them all, I suspect Freeman will just edge it for what I have heard to be a very good performance. I would like to see Alda take it, as much as for my love of him from M*A*S*H as for his performance in The Aviator, but he seems very much the outsider. Owen is the second highest possibility in my opinion, unless of course Foxx doesnt get best actor in which case he may be gifted this. I really hope Owen doesnt take it, but I would be ecstatic to see a Foxx double.
Best Supporting Actress:
I Hope: Natalie Portman
I Predict: Cate Blancett
I was not at all impressed with Blancett in The Aviator, but I seem to be in a minority, and I expect her to win. Portman and Madsen seem to be tied in second favourite position, I hope it goes to Portman, more for the year she's had than the Closer! performance specifically, and it is a possibilty, if unlikely.
Here are my predictions and hopes:
Best Picture:
I Hope: Ray
I Predict: The Aviator
To me, this category seems like a two horse race between Million Dollar Baby (which I havent seen) and The Aviator, which is a great shame because I feel that but Sideways and Ray are better than The Aviator certainly. For me, Ray should win it for both the quality of the acting and the sheer enjoyability of the film, but I think when it comes to the night The Aviator will edge it. Sideways is a possibility but Finding Neverland a very unlikely outside IMO.
Best Director:
I Hope: Mike Leigh
I Predict: Martin Scorsese
Going back on my earlier prediction that the Best Picture and Director awards would be shared between Eastwood and Scorsese, I now think that both will go to the later, a shame as from what I've heard, Eastwood deserves it more. Personally, I would like to see Mike Leigh win it, though perhaps that's British prejudice showing through. While I thought Ray was a better film than Vera Drake, I think the directing was a much larger factor in the later, making Ray the least likely for me.
Best Actor:
I Hope: Jamie Foxx
I Predict: Jamie Foxx
Can't see this going to anyone else, and well deserved for one of the best portrayals of a real life character I have ever seen. When you compare this to the other favourites, DiCaprio's, portrayal of real life character Howard Hughes, there is no contest, Foxx being by far the more believable, so unless the academy get cold feet in going for the relative newcomer, I cant see this providing a problem. I always make a bet on what I consider to be the biggest shoe-in, and this will have my money this year.
Best Actress:
I Hope: Imelda Staunton
I Predict: Kate Winslet
Another one which seems to be pretty much a cert, and which would be well deserved. I would like to see that magnificant Staunton take it, but this isnt very likely in my opinion, and I cant see anyone but Winslet come out with it on the night. At least we have a good chance of a brit winner here.
Best Supporting Actor:
I Hope: Alan Alda
I Predict: Morgan Freeman
Probably the hardest to call of them all, I suspect Freeman will just edge it for what I have heard to be a very good performance. I would like to see Alda take it, as much as for my love of him from M*A*S*H as for his performance in The Aviator, but he seems very much the outsider. Owen is the second highest possibility in my opinion, unless of course Foxx doesnt get best actor in which case he may be gifted this. I really hope Owen doesnt take it, but I would be ecstatic to see a Foxx double.
Best Supporting Actress:
I Hope: Natalie Portman
I Predict: Cate Blancett
I was not at all impressed with Blancett in The Aviator, but I seem to be in a minority, and I expect her to win. Portman and Madsen seem to be tied in second favourite position, I hope it goes to Portman, more for the year she's had than the Closer! performance specifically, and it is a possibilty, if unlikely.
S
Sir Calumn
Guest
Yeah, that's the one I meant.
The BAFTA's are never a particularly good indicator of Oscar results, but from what we saw tonight gives the impression that The Aviator may not do aswell as I predict. It's a bit deceptive, as you pretty much have to discount most of the Vera Drake awards which I doubt would have gone it's way were it not a British ceremony, but the only major award The Aviator took was best picture. Atleast Foxx and Staunton won the best actor/actress BAFTA's so hopefully that's something which the academy will repeat.
The BAFTA's are never a particularly good indicator of Oscar results, but from what we saw tonight gives the impression that The Aviator may not do aswell as I predict. It's a bit deceptive, as you pretty much have to discount most of the Vera Drake awards which I doubt would have gone it's way were it not a British ceremony, but the only major award The Aviator took was best picture. Atleast Foxx and Staunton won the best actor/actress BAFTA's so hopefully that's something which the academy will repeat.
PICTURE
Will win: The Aviator
Should win: M$B
DIRECTOR
Will win: M$B
Should win: The Aviator
Not because of the movie, but because of Scorcese.
ACTOR
Will win: Jamie Foxx
Should win: Jamie Foxx
ACTRESS
Will win: Hilary Swank
Should win: Kate Winslet
Head to head in their respective movies (M$B vs. ESOTSM) Swank wins it but Winslets get the edge because she also had a great performance in Finding Neverland. Plus, ESOTSM was underappreciated in the amount of nominations it got opposed to the overappreciation that M$B got.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Thomas Haden Church
Should win: Morgan Freeman
Still haven't seen Sideways but I think it'll get the nod because it's so critically acclaimed. Out of those other four, I favor Freeman.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
No idea.
ANIMATED FILM
Will win: The Incredibles
No contest.
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Should win: ESOTSM
Will win: ESOTSM
There will be mayhem if it doesn't win this category.
SOUND MIXING
Will win: The Aviator
Should win: Ray
Will win: The Aviator
Should win: M$B
DIRECTOR
Will win: M$B
Should win: The Aviator
Not because of the movie, but because of Scorcese.
ACTOR
Will win: Jamie Foxx
Should win: Jamie Foxx
ACTRESS
Will win: Hilary Swank
Should win: Kate Winslet
Head to head in their respective movies (M$B vs. ESOTSM) Swank wins it but Winslets get the edge because she also had a great performance in Finding Neverland. Plus, ESOTSM was underappreciated in the amount of nominations it got opposed to the overappreciation that M$B got.
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Thomas Haden Church
Should win: Morgan Freeman
Still haven't seen Sideways but I think it'll get the nod because it's so critically acclaimed. Out of those other four, I favor Freeman.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
No idea.
ANIMATED FILM
Will win: The Incredibles
No contest.
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Should win: ESOTSM
Will win: ESOTSM
There will be mayhem if it doesn't win this category.
SOUND MIXING
Will win: The Aviator
Should win: Ray
S
Sir Calumn
Guest
To my mind, ESOTSM is a dead cert for best original screenplay and Sideways a dead cert for best adapted.
Rogert Ebert's Precitions (he's going with M$B all the way)
http://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050212/OSCARS/502130302
http://rogerebert.suntimes.com/apps/pbcs.dll/article?AID=/20050212/OSCARS/502130302
S
Sir Calumn
Guest
Just put my bets down earlier today, here's what I went for:
£20 on Million Dollar Baby for best picture. Even though my prediction was for The Aviator, at 2/1 the return wasnt quite good enough for me, so I went for M$B at 5/2, resisting the tempatation to go for Ray at 50/1.
£10 on Clint Eastwood for best actor. 1/10 for Jamie Foxx was just rediculous, but Eastwood brings home a healthy 20/1 if he comes out on top.
£10 on Clint Eastwood for best director. Got evens on this, and I feel it a very strong possibility, if I'm gonna make up my losses anywhere it could be here.
£10 on Alan Alda for best supporting, again at 20/1 it's worth a go.
I'm gonna loose it all aren't I
£20 on Million Dollar Baby for best picture. Even though my prediction was for The Aviator, at 2/1 the return wasnt quite good enough for me, so I went for M$B at 5/2, resisting the tempatation to go for Ray at 50/1.
£10 on Clint Eastwood for best actor. 1/10 for Jamie Foxx was just rediculous, but Eastwood brings home a healthy 20/1 if he comes out on top.
£10 on Clint Eastwood for best director. Got evens on this, and I feel it a very strong possibility, if I'm gonna make up my losses anywhere it could be here.
£10 on Alan Alda for best supporting, again at 20/1 it's worth a go.
I'm gonna loose it all aren't I
My Predictions
PICTURE
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment GroupInitial Entertainment Group and Warner Bros.) A Forward Pass Appian Way/IMFIMF Production
DIRECTOR
Clint Eastwood, "Million Dollar Baby"
ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Aviator"
ACTRESS
Hilary Swank, "Million Dollar Baby" or
Kate Winslet, "Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind"
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jamie Foxx, "Collateral"
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, "The Aviator"
ANIMATED FILM
"The Incredibles" (Buena Vista) Brad Bird or
"Shrek 2" (DreamWorks) Andrew AdamsonAndrew Adamson
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
"Million Dollar Baby" (Warner Bros.) Screenplay by Paul Haggis
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
"Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind" Screenplay by Charlie Kaufman (Focus Features) Story by Charlie Kaufman & Michel Gondry & Pierre Bismuth
ART DIRECTION
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment Group Art Direction: Dante Ferretti and Warner Bros.) Set Decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo or
"Finding Neverland" (Miramax) Art Direction: Gemma Carlos*son, Set Decoration: Trisha Edwards
CINEMATOGRAPHY
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment Group Robert Richardsonand Warner Bros.) or
"House of Flying Daggers" (Sony Pictures Classics) Zhao Xiaoding or
"The Passion of the Christ" (Icon and Newmarket) Caleb Deschanel
COSTUME DESIGN
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment Group Sandy Powell and Warner Bros.) or
"Troy" (Warner Bros.) Bob Ringwood
DOCUMENTARY
no idea
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
no idea
EDITOR
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment Group Thelma Schoonmaker and Warner Bros.) or
"Million Dollar Baby" (Warner Bros.) Joel Cox or
"Ray" (Universal) Paul Hirsch
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
no idea
MAKEUP
no idea
ORIGINAL SCORE
"Finding Neverland" (Miramax) Jan A.P. Kaczmarek or
"Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban" John Williams (Warner Bros.)
ORIGINAL SONG
no idea
ANIMATED SHORT
no idea
LIVE ACTION SHORT
"Little Terrorist" Ashvin Kumar - An Alipur Films Production (hope wins)
SOUND EDITING
no idea
SOUND MIXING
no idea
VISUAL EFFECTS
"Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban" Roger Guyett, Tim Burke, John Richardson (Warner Bros.) and Bill George
PICTURE
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment GroupInitial Entertainment Group and Warner Bros.) A Forward Pass Appian Way/IMFIMF Production
DIRECTOR
Clint Eastwood, "Million Dollar Baby"
ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio, "The Aviator"
ACTRESS
Hilary Swank, "Million Dollar Baby" or
Kate Winslet, "Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind"
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Jamie Foxx, "Collateral"
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Cate Blanchett, "The Aviator"
ANIMATED FILM
"The Incredibles" (Buena Vista) Brad Bird or
"Shrek 2" (DreamWorks) Andrew AdamsonAndrew Adamson
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
"Million Dollar Baby" (Warner Bros.) Screenplay by Paul Haggis
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
"Eternal Sunshine of the Spotless Mind" Screenplay by Charlie Kaufman (Focus Features) Story by Charlie Kaufman & Michel Gondry & Pierre Bismuth
ART DIRECTION
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment Group Art Direction: Dante Ferretti and Warner Bros.) Set Decoration: Francesca Lo Schiavo or
"Finding Neverland" (Miramax) Art Direction: Gemma Carlos*son, Set Decoration: Trisha Edwards
CINEMATOGRAPHY
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment Group Robert Richardsonand Warner Bros.) or
"House of Flying Daggers" (Sony Pictures Classics) Zhao Xiaoding or
"The Passion of the Christ" (Icon and Newmarket) Caleb Deschanel
COSTUME DESIGN
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment Group Sandy Powell and Warner Bros.) or
"Troy" (Warner Bros.) Bob Ringwood
DOCUMENTARY
no idea
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
no idea
EDITOR
"The Aviator" (Miramax, Initial Entertainment Group Thelma Schoonmaker and Warner Bros.) or
"Million Dollar Baby" (Warner Bros.) Joel Cox or
"Ray" (Universal) Paul Hirsch
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
no idea
MAKEUP
no idea
ORIGINAL SCORE
"Finding Neverland" (Miramax) Jan A.P. Kaczmarek or
"Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban" John Williams (Warner Bros.)
ORIGINAL SONG
no idea
ANIMATED SHORT
no idea
LIVE ACTION SHORT
"Little Terrorist" Ashvin Kumar - An Alipur Films Production (hope wins)
SOUND EDITING
no idea
SOUND MIXING
no idea
VISUAL EFFECTS
"Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban" Roger Guyett, Tim Burke, John Richardson (Warner Bros.) and Bill George
S
Sir Calumn
Guest
Yeah, I can never bear to play the favourites
I will kill myself if Ray wins best picture though cos I very nearly went for it, and at 50/1 I'd be rolling in it.
M
Mikey
Guest
I agree with a lot of what you said. I thought Aviator was a good movie but undeserving of all its praise and nominations. Scorsese shouldve won an oscar for Raging Bull or Goodfellas, so the academy will probably correct their mistakes and give it to him for this.
I feel the same way about M$B than i do with Aviator. I thought Finding Neverland, Eternal Sunshine, Ray, Hotel Rwanda and Sideways were all better than the Aviator or M$B.
Heres my predictions
PICTURE
Will win: Million Dollar Baby
Should win: Eternal Sunshine (Finding Neverland)
My actual rankings:
1) Eternal Sunshine
2) Hotal Rwanda
3) Finding Neverland
DIRECTOR
Will win: Eastwood
Should win: Scorsese
I think its 50/50 who will win. Everyone seems to think the academy will just reward Scorsese for his career rather than this movie. There's always been surprises, and Eastwood is loved by all (i also didnt think Mystic River was too special). I dont think any of the other movies were much better, so i hope Scorsese wins. They should just give him the oscar he deserved for Raging Bull. Im curious what beat him out that year, I cant think of any Great movies from that year off the top of my head.
ACTOR
Will win: Jamie Foxx
Should win: Jamie Foxx
By far this is the deepest list in the field. Even people who didnt get nominations (Jim Carrey and Paul Giamatti) mightve won with different competition. That being said, Jamie Foxx was amazing, and this was one of the performances of all time. Im not sure why people are so 'shocked' at how great an actor he is. He was excellent in Any Given Sunday and Ali.
ACTRESS
Will win: Hilary Swank
Should win: Hilary Swank
By far, the weakest group in the entire field. Swank will win by default basically, even though she had a great performance. It might just be me, but ive never really liked her too much (took part in movie that damaged Karate Kid legacy). The only thing against her is that she won an oscar recently, so they may wanna give it to someone else. Because theres no real competition, it wont really matter. I dont know what was so great about Kate Winslets performance either, Carrey stole every scene. Cate Blanchett was very annoying in the Aviator, if thats how Hepburn actually was, than she nailed it
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Thomas Haden Church
Should win: Thomas Haden Church
Hakeem, Morgan Freeman hasnt won an oscar? Really? Too bad his performance in Shawshank Redemption was up against the deepest year in oscar history (1994, look it up). Haden Church was great, but comedy roles, especially to someone who isnt prolific (unlike Nicholson in As it Good as it gets) dont get recognized. Still, someone should/has to win from sideways, and i thought he was much better than Madsen.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Did you guys know Virginia Madsen is Michael Madsen's sister? When i heard that, she went up a few notches. Im not the right person to ask for this category
ANIMATED FILM
Havent seen any. From the looks, Incredibles is the best. How is Shark Tale so bad (from what ive heard ? When i first heard about the story and the cast, i thought itd be great
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Should win: Eternal Sunshine
Will win: Aviator
Even though it makes no sense, Aviator will win. Id bet money on this (i didnt even know you could bet on oscars, where would i even do this?). Ill be here to say 'i told you so' when Aviator wins and all your jaws are dropped.
The general consensus believes that Eternal Sunshine and Sideways should win, but this is the oscars, they make some poor choices. Based on their clear hatred for Carrey (watch, in 20 years he'll finally win an oscar based on career not his current work). Sideways is more likely to win out of the two, based on the fact that Jim Carrey isnt in it, and that its also nominated for Best picture.
Adapted Screenplay
Will win: M$B
Should win: Sideways
See 'original screenplay'
I feel the same way about M$B than i do with Aviator. I thought Finding Neverland, Eternal Sunshine, Ray, Hotel Rwanda and Sideways were all better than the Aviator or M$B.
Heres my predictions
PICTURE
Will win: Million Dollar Baby
Should win: Eternal Sunshine (Finding Neverland)
My actual rankings:
1) Eternal Sunshine
2) Hotal Rwanda
3) Finding Neverland
DIRECTOR
Will win: Eastwood
Should win: Scorsese
I think its 50/50 who will win. Everyone seems to think the academy will just reward Scorsese for his career rather than this movie. There's always been surprises, and Eastwood is loved by all (i also didnt think Mystic River was too special). I dont think any of the other movies were much better, so i hope Scorsese wins. They should just give him the oscar he deserved for Raging Bull. Im curious what beat him out that year, I cant think of any Great movies from that year off the top of my head.
ACTOR
Will win: Jamie Foxx
Should win: Jamie Foxx
By far this is the deepest list in the field. Even people who didnt get nominations (Jim Carrey and Paul Giamatti) mightve won with different competition. That being said, Jamie Foxx was amazing, and this was one of the performances of all time. Im not sure why people are so 'shocked' at how great an actor he is. He was excellent in Any Given Sunday and Ali.
ACTRESS
Will win: Hilary Swank
Should win: Hilary Swank
By far, the weakest group in the entire field. Swank will win by default basically, even though she had a great performance. It might just be me, but ive never really liked her too much (took part in movie that damaged Karate Kid legacy). The only thing against her is that she won an oscar recently, so they may wanna give it to someone else. Because theres no real competition, it wont really matter. I dont know what was so great about Kate Winslets performance either, Carrey stole every scene. Cate Blanchett was very annoying in the Aviator, if thats how Hepburn actually was, than she nailed it
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Will win: Thomas Haden Church
Should win: Thomas Haden Church
Hakeem, Morgan Freeman hasnt won an oscar? Really? Too bad his performance in Shawshank Redemption was up against the deepest year in oscar history (1994, look it up). Haden Church was great, but comedy roles, especially to someone who isnt prolific (unlike Nicholson in As it Good as it gets) dont get recognized. Still, someone should/has to win from sideways, and i thought he was much better than Madsen.
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Did you guys know Virginia Madsen is Michael Madsen's sister? When i heard that, she went up a few notches. Im not the right person to ask for this category
ANIMATED FILM
Havent seen any. From the looks, Incredibles is the best. How is Shark Tale so bad (from what ive heard ? When i first heard about the story and the cast, i thought itd be great
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Should win: Eternal Sunshine
Will win: Aviator
Even though it makes no sense, Aviator will win. Id bet money on this (i didnt even know you could bet on oscars, where would i even do this?). Ill be here to say 'i told you so' when Aviator wins and all your jaws are dropped.
The general consensus believes that Eternal Sunshine and Sideways should win, but this is the oscars, they make some poor choices. Based on their clear hatred for Carrey (watch, in 20 years he'll finally win an oscar based on career not his current work). Sideways is more likely to win out of the two, based on the fact that Jim Carrey isnt in it, and that its also nominated for Best picture.
Adapted Screenplay
Will win: M$B
Should win: Sideways
See 'original screenplay'
C
Callan
Guest
I don't care but James Newton Howard better win for best score. The music in the Village is the best thing about it.
M
Mikey
Guest
Michael also said he'll never watch a movie where she gets naked, which makes sense, but she gets naked in almost all her movies, so i guess sideways was the first movie hes ever seen with her in it
Forgot to mention, why is Jamie Foxx being nominated for Collateral as a supporting actor?!??! he was clearly the star, and had more air time than anyone else (including Cruise).
Forgot to mention, why is Jamie Foxx being nominated for Collateral as a supporting actor?!??! he was clearly the star, and had more air time than anyone else (including Cruise).