it's surely incompatibility problem, I mean, game isn't 100% compatible with your gfx, ur drivers, or all ur programs installed alltogether making that unique combination of software leading to malfunction of one of them
I had crashes with my PES games because of programs I'd never think they could be troublemakers, but still, they all were graphics related (video players, codecs, plugins for graphics programs, widnows speeders progrs etc.)
I know u tried 3d analyser but have u tried all the settings? I doubt you've checked all of them; I know its boring to mark one check, run the game, crash, restart, run 3d anal, mark other check, run the game, crash,...) but it's the way which helped me few times and I finally could find those effects turning off which made my game work
I dunno which marks mean what now as I changed my specs and I just haven't had to mess with analyzer yet (thx God)